tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 09:37 CLT
    AA 1784 · American · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:07 CLT → 15:05 LGA
    AA 2036 · American · 1h 58m · 82% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 35mORD 06:30 to LGA 15:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.