tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 09:37 CLT
    AA 1784 · American · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 CLT → 11:39 ILM
    AA 5416 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 14m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 09mORD 06:30 to ILM 11:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.