tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:30 ORD → 09:37 CLT
    AA 1784 · American · 2h 07m · 84% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 CLT → 14:19 ILM
    AA 5809 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 14m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 49mORD 06:30 to ILM 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.