tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Kansas City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 19:51 DTW → 21:44 DFW
    AA 1786 · American · 2h 53m · 47% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 DFW → 00:23 MCI +1 day
    AA 1036 · American · 1h 39m · 53% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 32mDTW 19:51 to MCI 00:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.