tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 14%

  1. 19:51 DTW → 21:44 DFW
    AA 1786 · American · 2h 53m · 47% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 23:58 MSY
    AA 1472 · American · 1h 28m · 46% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 07mDTW 19:51 to MSY 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.