Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 19:51 DTW → 21:44 DFW
    AA 1786 · American · 2h 53m · 47% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 00:43 SFO +1 day
    AA 446 · American · 3h 44m · 50% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 52mDTW 19:51 to SFO 00:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.