Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 20%
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17:56 ORD → 20:59 DCAAA 1787 · American · 2h 04m · 55% on time, 8.1% cancelled
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1h 01m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:00 DCA → 23:19 MSNAA 5373 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 49% on time, 19.5% cancelled
Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (19.5% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 23mORD 17:56 to MSN 23:19, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.