tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 65%

  1. 17:56 DTW → 19:08 PHX
    AA 1790 · American · 4h 11m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 PHX → 22:07 LAX
    AA 3204 · American · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 11mDTW 17:56 to LAX 22:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.