tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via Detroit: arrives on time 90%

  1. 09:56 PHX → 16:56 DTW
    AA 1790 · American · 3h 59m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 01m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:57 DTW → 22:10 MIA
    AA 3358 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 13m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 01m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 14mPHX 09:56 to MIA 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.