Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Diego via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 11:51 DTW → 13:45 DFW
    AA 1792 · American · 2h 49m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:42 DFW → 15:40 SAN
    AA 2485 · American · 2h 57m · 42% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 48mDTW 11:51 to SAN 15:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.