tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Harrisburg via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:52 DTW → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1793 · American · 2h 58m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 DFW → 22:59 MDT
    AA 2469 · American · 3h 11m · 54% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 07mDTW 15:52 to MDT 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.