tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Buffalo via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:52 DTW → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1793 · American · 2h 58m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DFW → 22:50 BUF
    AA 574 · American · 3h 05m · 58% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 58mDTW 15:52 to BUF 22:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.