tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 17:47 XNA → 19:15 DFW
    AA 1804 · American · 1h 28m · 40% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 DFW → 22:26 MSP
    AA 2978 · American · 2h 22m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 14 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 39mXNA 17:47 to MSP 22:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.