tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Juan via Philadelphia: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:01 TPA → 08:39 PHL
    AA 1806 · American · 2h 38m · 97% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:04 PHL → 15:56 SJU
    B6 1047 · JetBlue · 3h 52m · 73% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 55mTPA 06:01 to SJU 15:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.