tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Rosa via Phoenix: arrives on time 36%

  1. 06:44 LAS → 07:58 PHX
    AA 1808 · American · 1h 15m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:17 PHX → 12:30 STS
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 46mLAS 06:44 to STS 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.