tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Bozeman via Phoenix: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:44 LAS → 07:58 PHX
    AA 1808 · American · 1h 15m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 PHX → 12:40 BZN
    AA 6416 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 45m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 56mLAS 06:44 to BZN 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.