tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Diego via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 17:10 EWR → 20:10 DFW
    AA 1810 · American · 4h 00m · 47% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:34 DFW → 22:37 SAN
    AA 1011 · American · 3h 03m · 35% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip8h 27mEWR 17:10 to SAN 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.