tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Jose via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:10 EWR → 20:10 DFW
    AA 1810 · American · 4h 00m · 47% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 DFW → 22:58 SJC
    AA 1940 · American · 3h 34m · 60% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 48mEWR 17:10 to SJC 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.