tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 17:10 EWR → 20:10 DFW
    AA 1810 · American · 4h 00m · 47% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DFW → 22:39 AUS
    AA 972 · American · 1h 04m · 61% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 29mEWR 17:10 to AUS 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.