tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dallas-Fort Worth via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:34 CLT → 00:26 DFW +1 day
    AA 1271 · American · 2h 52m · 70% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 57mEWR 19:29 to DFW 00:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.