tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:43 ORF
    AA 2674 · American · 1h 16m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 16mEWR 19:29 to ORF 23:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.