tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → New Orleans via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:56 CLT → 23:59 MSY
    AA 608 · American · 2h 03m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 30mEWR 19:29 to MSY 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.