tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:57 CVG
    AA 626 · American · 1h 28m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 28mEWR 19:29 to CVG 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.