tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Asheville via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 CLT → 00:15 AVL +1 day
    AA 5588 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 00m · 72% on time, 7.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (7.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 46mEWR 19:29 to AVL 00:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.