tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Columbia via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:29 EWR → 21:32 CLT
    AA 1811 · American · 2h 03m · 61% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 CLT → 23:58 CAE
    AA 5791 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 03m · 74% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 29mEWR 19:29 to CAE 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.