tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Rapid City via Phoenix: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:10 DFW → 06:49 PHX
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 39m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 PHX → 12:10 RAP
    AA 4076 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 40m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 00mDFW 06:10 to RAP 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.