tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Dulles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 78%

  1. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 DFW → 11:07 IAD
    AA 1906 · American · 3h 02m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 31mPHX 00:36 to IAD 11:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.