tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 70%

  1. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:01 DFW → 08:30 MSY
    AA 2183 · American · 1h 29m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 54mPHX 00:36 to MSY 08:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.