tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 DFW → 10:00 MIA
    AA 3055 · American · 3h 00m · 81% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 24mPHX 00:36 to MIA 10:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.