tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 87%

  1. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:25 DFW → 10:39 SDF
    AA 3788 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 14m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 03mPHX 00:36 to SDF 10:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.