tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 80%

  1. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:01 DFW → 10:24 XNA
    AA 3838 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 47mPHX 00:36 to XNA 10:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.