tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Key West via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:30 EWR → 15:34 CLT
    AA 1819 · American · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:32 CLT → 18:48 EYW
    AA 2533 · American · 2h 16m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 18mEWR 13:30 to EYW 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.