tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → St Louis via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:30 EWR → 15:34 CLT
    AA 1819 · American · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 CLT → 17:21 STL
    AA 2731 · American · 1h 59m · 69% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 50mEWR 13:30 to STL 17:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.