tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Milwaukee via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:30 EWR → 15:34 CLT
    AA 1819 · American · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:27 CLT → 17:37 MKE
    AA 2846 · American · 2h 09m · 64% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 06mEWR 13:30 to MKE 17:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.