tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Norfolk via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:30 EWR → 15:34 CLT
    AA 1819 · American · 2h 04m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 CLT → 17:54 ORF
    AA 5339 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 59% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 24mEWR 13:30 to ORF 17:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.