tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:13 MEM → 09:14 DFW
    AA 1825 · American · 2h 01m · 85% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:56 DFW → 12:57 LAS
    F9 1051 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 44mMEM 07:13 to LAS 12:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.