tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 15:03 FAT → 20:30 DFW
    AA 1827 · American · 3h 27m · 36% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 DFW → 22:06 PHX
    AA 3239 · American · 2h 38m · 61% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 04mFAT 15:03 to PHX 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.