tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kalispell → San Diego via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 13:35 FCA → 18:10 ORD
    AA 1833 · American · 3h 35m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 21:22 SAN
    AA 1924 · American · 4h 22m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Kalispell). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 46mFCA 13:35 to SAN 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.