tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Salt Lake City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:45 CLT → 18:41 PHL
    AA 1838 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:48 PHL → 23:02 SLC
    AA 2610 · American · 5h 14m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 17mCLT 16:45 to SLC 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.