Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → San Francisco via Philadelphia: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:45 CLT → 18:41 PHL
    AA 1838 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:46 PHL → 23:10 SFO
    AA 3166 · American · 6h 24m · 57% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip9h 25mCLT 16:45 to SFO 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.