Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Seattle via Philadelphia: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:45 CLT → 18:41 PHL
    AA 1838 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 PHL → 22:56 SEA
    AA 3259 · American · 6h 21m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip9h 11mCLT 16:45 to SEA 22:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.