tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Des Moines via Philadelphia: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:45 CLT → 18:41 PHL
    AA 1838 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 PHL → 21:40 DSM
    AA 5478 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 50mCLT 16:45 to DSM 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.