tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 09:26 DFW
    AA 1839 · American · 3h 26m · 90% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:56 DFW → 12:57 LAS
    F9 1051 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 58mDCA 06:59 to LAS 12:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.