tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:05 MEM → 10:01 CLT
    AA 1846 · American · 1h 50m · 88% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 CLT → 14:36 PHX
    AA 1044 · American · 4h 22m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 27mMEM 07:05 to PHX 14:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.