tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:05 MEM → 10:01 CLT
    AA 1846 · American · 1h 50m · 88% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 CLT → 16:10 PHX
    AA 1711 · American · 4h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip11h 05mMEM 07:05 to PHX 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.