tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Detroit via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 87%

  1. 08:20 PHL → 09:56 RDU
    AA 1846 · American · 1h 36m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:00 RDU → 14:58 DTW
    DL 2265 · Delta · 1h 58m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 38mPHL 08:20 to DTW 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.