tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:52 TPA → 15:44 DFW
    AA 1846 · American · 2h 52m · 76% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:37 DFW → 17:09 PHX
    AA 1155 · American · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 17mTPA 13:52 to PHX 17:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.