tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Albany via Philadelphia: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:07 ORD → 20:25 PHL
    AA 1848 · American · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:23 ALB
    AA 5877 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 16mORD 17:07 to ALB 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.