tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 11:24 SFO → 17:14 DFW
    AA 1849 · American · 3h 50m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 DFW → 19:16 AUS
    AA 5574 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 12m · 65% on time, 9.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (9.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 52mSFO 11:24 to AUS 19:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.