tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → San Francisco via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:57 FLL → 18:53 PHL
    AA 1855 · American · 2h 56m · 52% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 00:59 SFO +1 day
    AA 3295 · American · 6h 09m · 81% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 12h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip12h 02mFLL 15:57 to SFO 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.